Table 3

Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for ultimate hospital mortality

Variable
Na
aROC
95% CI

Number of modified Glasgow criteria
2,473
0.669
0.648–0.691

APACHE II score
2,369
0.804
0.786–0.821

Highest serum urea, mmol/l
2,140
0.771
0.751–0.791
Lowest arterial pH
2,288
0.768
0.748–0.788
Highest serum creatinine, μmol/l
2,370
0.763
0.744–0.783
Lowest serum albumin, g/l
1,972
0.682
0.658–0.706
Lowest PaO2/FIO2, kPa
2,291
0.660
0.638–0.683
Lowest total serum calcium, mmol/l
1,663
0.617
0.589–0.645
Lowest platelet count, × 109/l
2,152
0.599
0.574–0.623
Lowest PaO2, kPa
2,291
0.565
0.542–0.589
Highest serum glucose, mmol/l
2,078
0.560
0.534–0.585
Highest total serum bilirubin, μmol/l
1,826
0.545
0.518–0.572
Lowest ionised serum calcium, mmol/l
515
0.527
0.476–0.578
Highest white blood cell count, × 109/l
2,368
0.524
0.500–0.549

aExcluding readmissions within the same hospital stay and admissions missing ultimate hospital outcome. APACHE, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; aROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; FIO2, fractional inspired oxygen; N, number of non-missing observations; PaO2, arterial oxygen tension.

Harrison et al. Critical Care 2007 11(Suppl 1):S1   doi:10.1186/cc5682