Table 5

Multiple logistic regression model of patient factors in relation to ultimate hospital mortality


Deaths
n
(%)
Unadjusted OR (95% CI)
Adjusted OR (95% CI)

Age



1.59 (1.46 – 1.73)
1.57 (1.44 – 1.73)
     <55
103
469
(22.0)
per 10 year increase
per 10 year increase
     55 – 60
108
395
(27.3)


     60 – 64
187
556
(33.6)


     65 – 69
281
745
(37.7)


     70 – 74
325
747
(43.5)


     75 – 79
293
537
(54.6)


     80+
96
162
(59.3)


Sex





     Female
630
1742
(36.2)
Ref.
Ref
     Male
763
1869
(40.8)
1.19 (1.03 – 1.39)
1.04 (0.88 – 1.22)
Severe respiratory disease





     No
827
2204
(37.5)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
487
1200
(40.6)
1.15 (0.98 – 1.34)
1.23 (1.03 – 1.46)
Home ventilation





     No
1288
3337
(38.6)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
26
67
(38.8)
1.05 (0.62 – 1.78)
1.16 (0.65 – 2.07)
Steroid treatment in previous 6 months





     No
1204
3110
(38.7)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
110
294
(37.4)
0.96 (0.74 – 1.24)
1.00 (0.75 – 1.33)
Comorbidity: liver disease





     No
1309
3398
(38.5)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
5
6
(83.3)
8.22 (0.96 – 70.47)
3.70 (0.39 – 35.37)
Comorbidity: cardiovascular disease





     No
1282
3326
(38.5)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
32
78
(41.0)
1.03 (0.63 – 1.68)
0.88 (0.51 – 1.50)
Comorbidity: chronic renal failure





     No
1306
3393
(38.5)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
8
11
(72.7)
3.29 (0.82 – 13.17)
2.21 (0.50 – 9.77)
Comorbidity: immunosuppression





     No
1299
3377
(38.5)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
15
27
(55.6)
1.92 (0.89 – 4.17)
1.75 (0.71 – 4.28)
Comorbidity: metastatic cancer





     No
1310
3398
(38.6)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
4
6
(66.7)
3.28 (0.60 – 17.96)
2.50 (0.43 – 14.66)
Length of stay before unit admission (days)



1.02 (1.01 – 1.03)
1.02 (1.01 – 1.03)
     0
567
1618
(35.0)
per 1 day increase
per 1 day increase
     1
256
753
(34.0)


     2
111
282
(39.4)


     3+
449
927
(48.4)


CPR within 24 hours before admission





     No
1207
3291
(36.7)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
176
301
(58.5)
2.38 (1.83 – 3.08)
1.83 (1.37 – 2.45)
Intubation statusa





     Not intubated
206
684
(30.1)
Ref.
Ref.
     Definitely/probably intubated
1187
2927
(40.6)
1.71 (1.38 – 2.13)
1.36 (1.07 – 1.73)
Lowest pHa



1.31 (1.23 – 1.40)
1.23 (1.13 – 1.35)
     <7.18
391
758
(51.6)
per 0.1 decrease
per 0.1 decrease
     7.18–7.25
294
797
(36.9)


     7.26–7.32
259
815
(31.8)


     = 7.33
297
877
(33.9)










PaCO2 from ABG with lowest pH (kPa)a



1.09 (0.91 – 1.29)
1.01 (0.79 – 1.29)
     <6.9
334
784
(42.6)
per 10 kPa increase
per 10 kPa increase
     6.9–8.6
316
836
(37.8)


     8.7–10.6
270
783
(34.5)


     = 10.7
320
843
(38.0)



PaO2/FiO2 gradient (kPa)a



1.17 (1.09 – 1.26)
1.13 (1.04 – 1.22)
     <17.2
425
871
(48.8)
per 10 kPa decrease
per 10 kPa decrease
     17.2–22.8
300
860
(34.9)


     22.9–29.5
293
856
(34.2)


     = 29.6
294
852
(34.5)



Lowest albumin (g/l)a





     <20
178
303
(58.8)
2.73 (2.11 – 3.54)
1.94 (1.46 – 2.58)
     20–24
208
477
(43.6)
1.49 (1.20 – 1.84)
1.28 (1.01 – 1.61)
     = 25 or not recorded
1007
2831
(35.6)
Ref.
Ref.

Organ system failure: respiratory





     No
335
786
(42.6)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
1058
2825
(37.5)
1.09 (0.87 – 1.36)
0.71 (0.55 – 0.91)

Organ system failure: cardiovascular





     No
881
2594
(34.0)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
512
1017
(50.3)
2.21 (1.87 – 2.62)
1.48 (1.22 – 1.79)

Organ system failure: neurological





     No
1066
2978
(35.8)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
327
633
(51.7)
1.85 (1.53 – 2.24)
1.36 (1.10 – 1.68)

Organ system failure: renal





     No
1190
3346
(35.6)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
203
265
(76.6)
5.17 (3.70 – 7.23)
3.83 (2.67 – 5.47)

Organ system failure: haematological





     No
1362
3550
(38.4)
Ref.
Ref.
     Yes
31
61
(50.8)
1.65 (0.94 – 2.89)
1.30 (0.69 – 2.45)

Ultimate hospital mortality excludes admissions who were readmissions to the intesnive care unit within the same hospital stay, admissions whose ultimate hospital discharge status was missing, and admissions for whom any of the entered risk factors were missing. aDuring first 24 hours following unit admission. ABG, arterial blood gas; CI, confidence interval; CPR, cardiopulmonary resuscitation; FiO2, fractional inspired oxygen; OR, odds ratio; PaCO2, arterial carbon dioxide tension; PaO2, arterial oxygen tension.

Wildman et al. Critical Care 2005 9(Suppl 3):S38   doi:10.1186/cc3719